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Global Ecology and Conservation

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Global Ecology and Conservation's content profile, based on 25 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Can coastal plantation forests substitute for natural coastal forests as bird and plant habitat? A test across coastal zonation

KITAZAWA, M.; ICHIKAWA, S.; AOKI, D.; SENZAKI, M.

2026-04-19 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.16.718952 medRxiv
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Natural forests are increasingly being replaced by plantation forests, highlighting an urgent need to reconcile forest use and biodiversity conservation. Coastal forests serve as refugia for species of conservation concern, but they have been globally replaced by plantations, and conversion remains ongoing. As natural coastal forests become increasingly scarce, opportunities for direct biodiversity comparisons with coastal plantations are also disappearing. This scarcity leads to underestimation of the conservation value of natural coastal forests, while effective management measures to conserve biodiversity within coastal plantations remain poorly developed. By focusing on the largest natural coastal forests in Japan, we assessed whether plantation coastal forests can substitute for natural coastal habitats across multiple taxonomic groups, functional groups, and threatened species. We found that plantations supported bird species richness comparable to natural forests at the community level and for threatened species. Surveyed plantation forests supported 7% of global breeding populations of the endangered Brown Shrike. However, plantations hosted lower forest plant species and higher introduced plant species richness. Plantations also significantly altered coastal zonation patterns in plant communities: forest species distribution shifted seaward, whereas coastal and introduced species shifted landward. Coastal plantations are unlikely to be complete substitutes for natural coastal forests for plant species, yet still have the potential for restoring historically lost coastal forest ecosystems. Confining further plantation activities to landward areas and plantations with low canopy cover will mitigate the negative impacts of plantations and further conserve unique coastal communities where forest and grassland species can coexist. Highlight{checkmark} Coastal forests have been historically disturbed and converted to plantations {checkmark}We test whether coastal plantations can substitute for natural forests across taxa {checkmark}Bird species richness in plantations was comparable to that in natural forests {checkmark}Plant species richness was lower in plantations and zonation patterns were altered {checkmark}Considering zonation patterns can turn plantations into restoration opportunities

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Potential for Climate Change induced extinction of the Sky Island Species Mount Graham Red Squirrel (Tamiasciurus hudsonicus grahamensis)

Gibson, E.; Kantar, M. B.; Runck, B.

2026-05-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.13.725054 medRxiv
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Sky islands are high-elevation ecosystems surrounded by lowland habitats that create isolated environments with distinct climatic conditions. These factors have driven the evolution of many endemic species, separated from their larger, contiguous populations. An Individual-Based Model (IBM) was used to simulate population dynamics by modeling the behaviors and interactions of Tamiasciurus hudsonicus grahamensis (Mount Graham Red Squirrel) a subspecies of the American red squirrel (Tamiasciurus hudsonicus) that is endemic to the Pinaleno Mountains in southeastern Arizona. This approach can help predict future population trends based on historical species data leading to better conservation decisions. Using species-specific ecological preferences--including temperature, precipitation, and vegetation indices (NDVI)--an IBM was developed to simulate population dynamics and spatial distribution projections through 2100. Climate change projections, based on the best- and worst-case scenarios outlined in the 2014 National Climate Assessment, were incorporated to assess potential future population trends under changing environmental conditions. The population faces a 45-62% probability of extinction by 2100, with a significant risk of extinction within the next 50 years. A translocation experiment was conducted to evaluate the viability of relocating individuals to the Chiricahua Mountains, another sky island with a larger habitable area. However, the risk of extinction remains even higher (87-89%) due to environmental disturbances affecting both the Chiricahua and Pinaleno regions. This highlights the challenges of conservation efforts in the face of climate change and emphasizes the need for targeted management strategies to preserve this critically endangered subspecies.

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Human and pet multimodal cues intensify wildlife fear responses

Hirobe, K.; Senzaki, M.

2026-05-16 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.13.725053 medRxiv
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O_LIFear of humans can drive persistent changes in wildlife behavioural and life-history traits, with cascading effects on entire ecosystems. Human multimodal cues and pet cues may influence impact of such fear, yet no study has tested how wildlife fear responses change when human acoustic cues and pet visual and acoustic cues are added to human visual cues. Filling this gap is important for managing human and pet outdoor activities while conserving wildlife. C_LIO_LIHere, with dogs representing the pet, we tested the effects of human and dog cues on fear responses of wild sika deer (Cervus nippon yesoensis) in approximately 800 km2 area, northern Japan, using alert distance (AD) and flight initiation distance (FID). First, we measured AD/FID with an approaching surveyor alone and with additional cues. Then, we fitted linear mixed-effects models while controlling for key covariates. C_LIO_LIFrom analyses with 266 observations, AD was estimated at 80.0 m with the human visual cue alone, and dog barking increased AD by 18.4m. FID was estimated at 57.1 m with the human visual cue alone, and human voice and the dog decoy increased FID by 11.3m and by 8.5 m, respectively. C_LIO_LIThese results demonstrate that human multimodal cues and pet cues can increase prey fear responses. Our findings also suggest that dog walking may expose wildlife to simultaneous human and pet cues more consistently than predator co-occurrence typically does in nature. The increase in FID with human acoustic cues, in contrast to previous studies, suggests that animals may shift cue weighting depending on predator species, potentially using human voices to help identify the threat as human. C_LIO_LIPrevious studies show that multimodal predator cues increase prey fear responses, and our findings extend this flamework to fear responses towards humans. Our findings can inform more tolerant management of human recreation and pet walking in sensitive areas. Reducing human and pet cues through signage, guidance, and zoning may prevent flight and associated energy expenditure, whereas mitigating vigilance may require behavioural guidance and spacing between pet-walking visitors. Overall, shaping how humans and pets behave may be more practical than blanket restriction. C_LI

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Socotra Cormorants in the Arabian Gulf represent a large, but isolated population with low genetic diversity

Almansoori, N. M.; Razali, H.; Muzaffar, S. B.; Chabanne, D. B. H.; Natoli, A.; Almusallami, M.; Naser, H.; Khamis, A.; Al Harthi, F.; Aldhaheri, L. S. R.; Alaleeli, M. M. B.; Al Diwani, F. M.; Manlik, O.

2026-04-03 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.01.712451 medRxiv
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The Socotra Cormorant (Phalacrocorax nigrogularis) is a threatened seabird endemic to the coastal areas of the Arabian Gulf and the Arabian Sea, two regions separated by the Strait of Hormuz. Conserving threatened species requires clear delineation of population boundaries and the evaluation of genetic diversity. However, information on population structure and genetic variation, necessary for such an assessment, is lacking for the Socotra Cormorants. In this study, we assessed population structure and genetic diversity of Socotra Cormorants using two contrasting genetic markers: (1) maternally inherited mtDNA cytochrome oxidase 1 (COI) and (2) a nuclear non-coding region, {beta}-fibrinogen intron 7 (FIB7). A total of 279 individuals were sampled from four colonies in the Arabian Gulf and one colony on Hasikiyah Island in the Arabian Sea. Findings based on COI-variation suggest that the Arabian Gulf colonies represent one large population with extensive gene flow between Gulf colonies--except for the most distant pair of colonies--but isolated from Hasikiyah in the Arabian Sea. COI-variation indicated significant differentiation between the colonies inside the Gulf and the Hasikiyah colony. This is consistent with the reported distribution patterns, and may reflect phylogeographic processes of the region. The Gulf population showed substantially lower COI-diversity, with significantly lower nucleotide and haplotype diversity compared to Hasikiyah. In contrast, FIB7 results indicated extensive connectivity among colonies, with no detectable population structure or significant differences between the Gulf population and Hasikiyah. This study presents the first characterization of population structure and genetic diversity of Socotra Cormorants. The low genetic diversity coupled with relative isolation of the Gulf Socotra Cormorants raises conservation concerns regarding their long-term viability by potentially reducing fitness and eroding their evolutionary capacity to adapt to environmental change. LAY SUMMARYO_LIThe Socotra Cormorant is a threatened seabird found in the Arabian Gulf and Arabian Sea, but little was previously known about its population structure and genetic diversity. C_LIO_LIWe analyzed 279 birds from five nesting colonies (4 in the Gulf and 1 in the Arabian Sea), using two genetic markers to assess population connectivity and variation. C_LIO_LIWe found that the Socotra cormorants inside the Gulf appear to form a large, genetically isolated population with relatively low genetic diversity. C_LIO_LIThis is the first study that evaluates population structure and genetic diversity of this endangered seabird. C_LIO_LIThis is important information for the conservation of the Gulf Socotra cormorants because low genetic diversity, coupled with relative isolation, is associated with reduced fitness, and suggests that they may have a lower chance to adapt to environmental changes. C_LI

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Hornbill abundance and habitat correlates in Kali Tiger Reserve, Western Ghats, India-Insights from collaborative monitoring

Madhu, N.; Lad, H.; Kempegowda, B.; Sadekar, V.; Deshpande, S.; Kawthankar, N.; Page, N.; Bhat, A.; Shinde, N.; Naniwadekar, R.

2026-04-18 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.18.719330 medRxiv
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1.The future of species, particularly large-bodied birds, under climate threats, is increasingly unclear. Protected areas (PAs) can mitigate the impacts of global change, but are not completely immune. This makes it imperative to monitor populations even inside PAs. In the forests of the Western Ghats, three hornbill species are found--Malabar Grey Hornbill, Malabar Pied Hornbill and Great Hornbill. Kali Tiger Reserve, of Karnataka state, India, is known for its healthy hornbill populations, yet few systematic surveys have attempted to estimate their abundance, distributions and habitat affiliations. In this study, we documented the distributions of the three hornbills, estimated the density of Malabar Grey Hornbills and assessed correlates of hornbill encounter rates within the reserve. Malabar Grey Hornbills were the most abundant and widely distributed, found in all ranges of the reserve. Gund, Kadra and Phansoli had the most detections of Malabar Pied and Great Hornbills. Encounter rates of Malabar Grey Hornbill were positively correlated with food-tree stem density, those of Malabar Pied Hornbill negatively correlated with basal area, while those of Great Hornbill not significantly associated with any variable. Malabar Grey Hornbills had a density of 5.1 per km2 (mean flock size = 1.2). While encounter rates of Malabar Pied and Great Hornbills were low, these numbers track the breeding season, when vocal activity is low and females are inside nests. This survey represents a partnership between researchers and the Karnataka forest department, aimed towards inculcating the collaborative spirit of research and monitoring.

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Columbia Basin Pygmy Rabbit Recovery Planning through Structured Decision Making

Mistry, K. R.; Converse, S. J.

2026-04-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.11.716011 medRxiv
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYThe endangered Columbia Basin pygmy rabbit (CBPR) faces multiple threats, particularly increasing risk of larger and more intense wildfires due to climate change, emerging disease, and sagebrush habitat loss due to agriculture and development. Through the use of conservation breeding, the CBPR wild population grew from a low of 16 individuals captured in 2001 to over 100 individuals in two subpopulations in 2024. However, these subpopulations are geographically proximate, with potential risk that both subpopulations could be affected by a single wildfire or disease event. Additionally, a succession of setbacks in the breeding program has prompted a natural re-evaluation point for the CBPR conservation program. We undertook a structured decision-making (SDM) process with participants from both Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife (WDFW) and US Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) to develop a strategy that is sustainable and implementable for guiding management in the coming decades across the range of the CBPR, taking into account changing conditions and updated information. A population model that incorporated both demographic and high impact event uncertainties was developed to test how alternative strategies - defined by conservation breeding program, vaccination, and translocation components - affect CBPR population growth and cost objectives. Based on analysis of the model results, we identified the following actions that appear to have the greatest potential to allow WDFW and USFWS to meet their conservation objectives for CBPR: O_LIContinue conservation breeding program, and possibly expand to include an island subpopulation (an isolated, unfenced area that can serve as a source for rabbits while requiring fewer management inputs) C_LIO_LIContinue Rabbit Hemorrhagic Disease Virus (RHDV2) annual vaccinations in both breeding and wild populations C_LIO_LIWhen juveniles are available for translocation, prioritize recovery areas that are in the establishing phase C_LI In addition, while not analyzed explicitly in the model, discussions during the SDM process led to the identification of the following actions, which the group considered to have potential to benefit the CBPR either directly or indirectly: O_LIIncrease the amount of suitable habitat available to pygmy rabbits C_LIO_LIIncrease protections for existing and potential recovery areas C_LIO_LIDesign future monitoring to better estimate survival and reproduction, with an emphasis on understanding how these vital rates vary between wild and semi-captive individuals, between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, and as a function of habitat factors C_LI

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Wildlife feeding increases risk of male wild turkeys (Meleagris gallopavo) to hunter harvest

Lashley, M.; Leipold, E.; McDonald, B.; Baruzzi, C.

2026-05-04 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.30.721985 medRxiv
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Wildlife feeding during the wild turkey (Meleagris gallopavo) hunting season is legal in many states within the United States, but hunting turkeys with the aid of bait is unlawful in most states. The most common policy to prevent wildlife feeding from acting as bait is to restrict hunting within a defined radius. However, the effect of wildlife feeders on turkey harvest risk and the effectiveness of distance restrictions on mitigating that influence have not been investigated. During 2024-2025, we used GPS transmitters to track 30 adult male turkeys during the spring hunting season on private land with active feeders in Florida, USA, where hunting turkeys within a 91 m radius of a feeder was unlawful. We used Cox proportional hazard models to link risk of hunter harvest with unique feeders visited daily, number of feeders within a home range, and average morning distance and roosting distance to feeders at multiple temporal scales. Hunters harvested 53% of the tagged turkeys. Risk of hunter harvest increased with the number of unique feeders visited the previous day and after the first three days of hunting season with the number of active feeders within a home range. As distance from the most recent roost site and average morning distance to a feeder decreased, risk of hunter harvest increased. We estimated that risk of hunter harvest would be reduced by over 50% if distance restrictions were increased from 100 m to 200 m, by nearly 75% with an increase from 100 m to 300 m, and by nearly 90% with an increase from 100 m to 500 m. To completely eliminate the influence of wildlife feeders on risk of hunter harvest would require a restriction distance well beyond a 500m radius, which is impractical given that this radius would result in an area twice the average private landowner property size in the region. Thus, if wildlife feeding during the turkey hunting season is to be allowed, it will act as bait, in which case, the acceptable level of its influence as bait can be achieved with the appropriate hunting radius restriction.

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Forecasting climate-driven distributional changes in the threatened Caribbean marine species Aliger gigas (Queen conch)

Rojas-Ariza, D.; Nunez-Penichet, C.; Ruiz-Utrilla, Z. P.

2026-05-01 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.29.721193 medRxiv
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The queen conch (Aliger gigas) is a key native species of the Caribbean Sea and a primary source of income for thousands of fishers. Historically, it has been a highly valuable resource for the fishing sectors of countries such as the Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, Honduras, and Nicaragua. However, due to its high economic value, the species has been extensively overfished across the region. Overfishing, combined with limited larval dispersal, low recruitment, and poor population connectivity, has led to a drastic decline in population numbers of the species, resulting in its current classification as Threatened. Despite this status, likely impacts of climate change on its populations remain poorly understood, posing significant challenges to conservation efforts. To address this gap, we integrated occurrence records, climate data, and satellite-derived marine habitat data to develop ecological niche models estimating the current and future distribution of the queen conch under different climate change scenarios. We found substantial losses of suitable areas for queen conch along the northern Atlantic coast of South America and Central America, part of the Greater Antilles and the Lesser Antilles. The entire Caribbean region is projected to lose suitability entirely within 20-30 years under the moderate and most extreme climate scenarios. Conversely, our models estimate some suitable areas to persist or expand along the southeastern coast of the United States at least until sometime between 2040 and 2060. Overall, our results suggest a northward shift in the range of this species, with the magnitude of this shift closely tied to the severity of climate change impacts. This work aims to build upon and enhance existing knowledge about survival of queen conch populations in the Caribbean over time. Anticipating future habitat availability will be key to protecting this economically and ecologically important species.

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Estimating habitat-constrained home range size in semi-aquatic mammals: a case study on the critically endangered European mink (Mustela lutreola).

Bodinier, R.; Aulagnier, S.; Bressan, Y.; Beaubert, R.; Fournier-Chambrillon, C.; Devillard, S.; Fournier, P.

2026-04-15 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.13.718143 medRxiv
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Accurate home range knowledge is essential for conserving species that are highly dependent on certain types of habitats. The critically endangered European mink (Mustela lutreola) is a wetland specialist whose movements are constrained by riparian and wetland habitats. In dendritic landscapes, conventional home range estimators such as Minimum Convex Polygons tend to include unsuitable habitats in estimated home ranges. Using VHF telemetry data from 16 individual-years tracked in France between 1996-1999 and 2020-2022, we compared four methods: Kernel Density Estimator (KDE), an adaptative sphere-of-influence local convex hull (a-LoCoH), a newly developed Ecological Home Range method (EHR), and a Generalized Additive Model (GAM) approach integrating hydrographic covariates. Our objective is to determine which method best accounts for the European minks specialization in wetlands, considering the spatial distribution of locations. Evaluation with wetland-specific metrics showed KDE consistently overestimated range extent and included unsuitable habitats, and a-LoCoH yielded mixed results, but these indicated that the method was not effective in excluding unused habitats. It was EHR and GAM methods that aligned more closely with ecological constraints. We therefore recommend GAM because it matches our objective and has the capacity to integrate additional environmental variables. Using the GAM, male home ranges averaged 3,074 ha--26 times larger than female ranges (116 ha)-- and were significantly larger in river than marsh landscapes. These are the largest ranges reported for the species. Large spatial requirements heighten vulnerability to road fatality and predation, both significant threats for remaining French populations. Our findings highlight the need for conservation strategies that integrate precise, habitat-based range estimates. The GAM method offers a robust, adaptable framework for managing European mink and other semi-aquatic species in complex landscapes.

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Remote underwater photographs reveal environmental correlations and patterns in reef manta ray habitat use in Laamu Atoll, Maldives

Guilford-Pearce, B. J.; Staiger, M.; Stevens, G. M. W.; Doherty, P. D.; Ali, J.

2026-05-13 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.09.723939 medRxiv
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Reef manta rays (Mobula alfredi) are threatened by fishing and other anthropogenic threats. Which, when coupled with conservative life history traits, have made this species vulnerable to extinction. Spatiotemporal ecological knowledge, such as site fidelity and visitation patterns to key aggregation sites, are imperative for effective conservation management of M. alfredi. A novel method of environmental sensing, remote underwater photo systems (RUPs), was employed to understand drivers of M. alfredi habitat use and resighting patterns. RUPs were deployed at four cleaning sites around Laamu Atoll, Maldives. Between March 2021 and May 2023, 455,458 photos were analysed. Generalised linear models revealed increases in M. alfredi presence in response to high chlorophyll-a concentrations, low illumination moon states, the Southwest Monsoon, and in the morning, while human presence had no effect. Branchial spot patterns allowed for 81 M. alfredi individuals to be identified, from 629 sightings, representing 51.59% of Laamu Atolls previously identified population (n = 157). Cleaning stations are visited more intensively during periods of increased productivity of the Southwest Monsoon, likely in response to greater foraging opportunities near the study areas. Additionally, moon state, used as a proxy for tidal strength, was associated with increased visitation during new moon periods, suggesting that weaker tidal states may facilitate presence. These data support integrating RUPs with observational surveys to improve inferences about habitat use and our understanding of cleaning sites frequented by M. alfredi. This study aims to inform the implementation of Laamu Atolls first marine protected area management plan.

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Tracks, Maps and Gaps: A Testable Research Definition for Critical Chondrichthyan Areas, European Atlantic Insights

Renn, C.; Ciotti, B. J.; Sims, D. W.; Edwards, A.; Turner, R. A.; Hosegood, P.; Sheehan, E. V.

2026-05-05 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.01.722225 medRxiv
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Designing effective spatial management for chondrichthyans (sharks, skates, rays and chimaeras) requires incorporating critical areas, sites essential for population maintenance, such as reproductive and feeding areas. Yet most area-based measures have been developed without consideration of chondrichthyan habitat use. The Important Shark and Ray Area (ISRA) initiative has been pivotal in designating priority areas through a rigorous, consultative process. To complement this, our study offers researchers a testable definition for generating robust evidence to strengthen future critical area delineations and related management decisions. We define critical areas using three criteria: 1) relative frequency of use, (2) extended within-year occupancy and (3) repeated use across years. This framework enables objective comparison among candidate sites and is generalisable across different critical area types. The definition builds upon established early-life-stage habitat concepts and applies these to broader life-history functions. The utility of this framework is then demonstrated through a systematic review of contemporary peer-reviewed literature of critical chondrichthyan areas in the European Atlantic. The review highlighted 62 critical areas with Strong evidence and 41 areas of Moderate strength evidence, which informed the European Atlantic ISRA selection process. Research effort was concentrated in inshore areas, particularly around the British Isles and Portugal, with biases towards large, threatened and commercially valuable species, whilst chimaeras were notably underrepresented. Early-life stage areas were most frequently identified, whereas resting areas were rarely documented. Evidence patterns and biases are examined in the context of evolving critical area concepts to advance their development and improve the quality and breadth of future research. By outlining a testable definition, identifying key knowledge gaps, and proposing research and reporting guidelines, this work enhances the consistency, comparability, and spatial coverage of future chondrichthyan habitat research to support its application to conservation planning.

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Mapping research on Indigenous peoples, traditional knowledge, and biodiversity conservation in the Amazon: gaps and Indigenous knowledge co-production

Santos, J. V. A. S.; Bomfim, F. F.; Monteles, J. S.; Guerrero-Moreno, M. A.; Dantas, Y. C.; da Silva, E. C.; Brito, J. d. S.; Oliveira-Junior, J. M. B.; Panara, K. K.; Panara, S.; Panara, K.; Panara, S.; Panara, K.; Panara, K.; Panara, S.; Panara, N.; Panara, P.; Panara, P. P.; Panara, T.; Ferreira-Satere, T.; Kumaruara, A.; Kuikuro, Y.; Costa, A. R. O.; Sarlo, L.; Coutinho, B.; Araujo, R. d.; Pinheiro, R.; Junqueira, P.; Evangelista, I. M. A.; Dantas Santos, M. P.; Mendes-Oliveira, A. C.; Maschio, G.; Prata, E.; Martinelli, b. M.; Rodrigues, D.; Montag, L.; Michelan, T.; Juen, L.

2026-04-14 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.13.718171 medRxiv
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O_LIIndigenous peoples play a central role in biodiversity knowledge and conservation, yet their participation in scientific research remains underrepresented. Understanding how Indigenous peoples, traditional knowledge, and Indigenous territories are portrayed in the scientific literature is essential for developing more equitable and culturally grounded conservation strategies. C_LIO_LIWe conducted a bibliometric analysis of 94 articles on biodiversity conservation in the Amazon, published between 1997 and 2025, indexed in Scopus and Web of Science. We examined temporal trends, geographic distribution, institutional leadership, Indigenous co-authorship, focal ecosystems and taxa, and the main contributions attributed to Indigenous peoples. Indigenous perspectives were integrated into this analysis through a participatory approach. C_LIO_LIScientific production increased after 2010. Research leadership remains concentrated in institutions from the Global North, even though Brazil, Ecuador, and Peru were the most frequently studied countries. Indigenous co-authorship was identified in only 6.4 % of the studies. Most studies focused on plants, mammals, and birds, whereas aquatic environments and groups such as insects, amphibians, and reptiles received comparatively less attention. The main contributions attributed to Indigenous peoples were related to community-based monitoring and management (41.48%) and cultural practices and traditional ecological knowledge (38.19%). C_LIO_LIThese findings show that Indigenous peoples are widely recognized as knowledge holders and conservation actors, but are still rarely included as authors or research partners. Our study highlights persistent geographic, epistemic, and collaborative asymmetries in Amazonian biodiversity research. Conservation science and policy will be stronger, fairer, and more effective when they move beyond documenting Indigenous knowledge towards supporting Indigenous leadership, equitable partnerships, and inclusive co-production of knowledge. C_LI

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Image surveys, agricultural landowners and residents hold the key: optimizing local ecological knowledge to reveal carnivore communities

Fernandez Vizcaino, E.; Fernandez Lopez, J.

2026-04-29 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.25.720805 medRxiv
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The choice of appropriate methods to detect species is crucial for biodiversity monitoring. Camera trapping is currently one of the most widely used methods for characterizing mammal communities, although it requires substantial investment in equipment and personnel. In contrast, questionnaires administered to local populations provide a faster and more cost-effective alternative for assessing community composition, but may be influenced by respondent-related biases that compromise data reliability. This study evaluates the concordance between these approaches for characterizing the carnivore community in the Sierra de Segura (Jaen, southern Spain), using Cohens kappa coefficient, while also examining the individual and social factors shaping Local Ecological Knowledge (LEK). We deployed 24 camera-trap stations (144 trap nights) across a 25 km2 area to record carnivore presence. In parallel, we conducted two types of surveys with local residents (n = 103): (i) free-listing and (ii) image-based species recognition, while recording individual and social characteristics of respondents. Free-listing surveys tended to underreport species, whereas image-based surveys showed higher agreement with camera-trap data, although occasionally overestimating species presence. Higher concordance was associated with social factors indicative of closer and prolonged contact with the environment, such as permanent residence and ownership of agricultural land. Mammal communities differed between methods; however, agreement improved when respondents had higher LEK, while species-specific behavioral traits could also influence perception. Our findings demonstrate that image-based questionnaires can provide results comparable to camera trapping when respondents have strong connections to their natural surroundings. These results highlight the importance of both survey design and respondent selection in improving the accuracy of biodiversity monitoring, offering a transferable framework for integrating LEK into conservation protocols across diverse ecosystems. O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=126 SRC="FIGDIR/small/720805v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (35K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@d55c34org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1985c66org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1da576aorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1a10ccb_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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A comparison of BirdNET, expert listening and acoustic indices to monitor avian diversity in a Mediterranean agricultural landscape

Akoglu, I.; Bacak, E.; Bilgin, S.; Boyla, K. A.; Duran, M.; Akcay, C.; Ertor-Akyazi, P.

2026-05-21 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.20.726349 medRxiv
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Passive acoustic monitoring poses an immense potential to assess avian diversity in many habitats, including agricultural landscapes. At the same time, automated recorders generate large datasets which present a challenge for processing and effectively assessing biodiversity. Methods such as manual listening by experts, automated detection algorithms like BirdNET and calculating acoustic indices all present different trade-offs in assessment of biodiversity through passive acoustic monitoring. In the present study we recorded soundscapes in a low-intensity agricultural landscape in western Turkiye in all four seasons. Two expert ornithologists listened to a subset of these recordings identifying bird species from the recordings. We also ran the same sample of recordings on BirdNET to compare BirdNET detections with expert detections and calculated acoustic indices for each recording. The results showed that BirdNET detected more species than experts, although some may not be reliable detections. Two acoustic indices (bioacoustic index and acoustic complexity index) were correlated positively with number of species detected by experts and one (normalized difference soundscape index) with number of species detected by BirdNET but the correlations were modest. The results show that acoustic indices may have limited value in detecting biodiversity and automated detection algorithms may do a better job, although these may need to be trained with local data to improve detection and classification.

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Diversity and spatiotemporal activity patterns of medium and large mammals in the Niokolo-Koba National Park, Senegal

Ohrndorf, L.; Brouillet, A.; Zuleger, A. M.; Diakhate, N.; Coly, D.; Camara, C. Y. K.; Diedhiou, A. B.; Gutierrez Diez, I.; Fischer, J.; Zinner, D.

2026-03-05 ecology 10.64898/2026.03.03.709351 medRxiv
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West African savannahs provide habitats to diverse species assemblages, yet remain understudied compared to their East and Southern African counterparts. The Niokolo-Koba National Park in southeastern Senegal constitutes one of the largest remaining protected areas in West Africa and supports a mosaic of savannah and forest habitats with a diverse assemblage of medium- and large-sized mammals. Here, we analysed camera-trap data originally collected to monitor predator presence in the northwestern sector of the National Park. We deployed 37 cameras across 37 km{superscript 2} from February 2022 to March 2023, resulting in 13,161 camera-trap-days. We assessed alpha diversity indices and spatiotemporal activity patterns of large and medium-sized mammals across habitat types. Evenness values - the degree to which species abundances are distributed uniformly within a community - were higher in the savannah than in forest habitats, although overall species richness was comparable. In contrast, animal sighting rates were higher in forests than in savannahs. Estimated diel activity mostly corresponded with established species-specific behavioural patterns. Our analyses revealed differential use of certain habitat types across the day, likely driven by spatially segregated sleeping sites and foraging locations. Our results provide a reference for future studies and monitoring efforts and highlight the value of the forest-savannah mosaic for the local species assemblage within the larger ecosystem of Niokolo-Koba National Park.

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Persistent Invasion Risk: Modeling the near-Current and Future Distribution of Pterygoplichthys disjunctivus (Weber,1991) across the Philippine Archipelago

Bate, J.-M.; Poblete, A.; Dagamac, N. H.

2026-05-13 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.10.724170 medRxiv
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Philippine freshwater ecosystems are considered one of the most diverse ecosystems harboring numerous fish species. However, in the Philippines, these ecosystems are threatened by invasive species that potentially disrupt ecological balance. In this study, we focused on the vermiculated sailfin catfish Pterygoplichthys disjunctivus, an invasive aquarium species reported in several Philippine aquatic ecosystems. Despite its documented spread, its potential range under a rapidly changing climate remains poorly understood for the country. Hence, in this study, we utilized the MaxEnt model to predict its near-current and future habitat suitability in the Philippines. Using 11 reported occurrences, our model showed high predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.882{+/-} .034, TSS = 0.7394 {+/-} 0.154, SEDI = 0.971 {+/-} 0.019). Across the current and future scenarios, slope was the primary contributor (78.7% - 81.3%), followed by BIO 10 or the mean temperature of the warmest quarter(18% - 27.8%), and flow accumulation (0% - 5.2%). However, for the SSP126 scenario, BIO10 is projected to triple by 2050 (18 - 48%). Current projections identify high-risk regions, particularly central Luzon (Laguna de Bay and Lake Taal), the Cagayan River Valley, and portions of eastern Mindanao (Agusan Marsh and Lake Mainit). Sankey transition analysis confirms a high habitat stability rate (>73%) for high-suitability pixels in both SSPs, indicating persistent invasion risk. Overall, our study provides a framework for invasive species management and contributes to the conservation of Philippine aquatic ecosystems.

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The effect of outdoor recreation on mammal habitat use and diversity revealed by COVID-19 closures

Dimitriou, A.; Benson-Amram, S.; Gaynor, K.; Burton, C.

2026-04-04 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.02.715670 medRxiv
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The rising demand for outdoor recreation worldwide may be undermining the conservation objectives of protected areas (PAs). We leveraged a natural experiment, in which two adjacent PAs were closed to the public for different durations during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using detections from 39 camera traps in Joffre Lakes and Garibaldi Parks, Canada, from 2020-2022, we examined how recreation influenced mammal habitat use and diversity. Bayesian regression showed weak evidence that, when recreation was higher, detections declined for black bear, mule deer, and marten, while detections of bobcat and hoary marmot shifted closer to trails. Accumulation curves revealed that species richness and diversity were higher in the closed vs. open PA in 2020 (mean differences of -5.04 for richness and -0.33 for Shannon diversity). However, diversity did not decline consistently despite increases in recreation in 2021 and 2022. Notably, several rare species were only detected in the lower-recreation PA, suggesting they may be filtered out of the higher-recreation PA. This emphasizes the need for long-term monitoring to detect delayed and cumulative effects of recreation on mammal communities. Given growing global pressures on biodiversity, we urge PA managers to prioritize adaptive management to assess and balance outdoor recreation with conservation goals.

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Time to Potential Collision: A Dynamic Approach To Study Vessel-Whale Close Encounters

Santos, R.; Oliveira-Rodrigues, C.; Silva, I. M.; Valente, R.; Afonso, L.; Gil, A.; Vinagre, C.; Sambolino, A.; Fernandez, M.; Alves, F.; Sousa-Pinto, I.; Correia, A. M.

2026-03-25 ecology 10.64898/2026.03.23.713354 medRxiv
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Vessel-whale collisions are a growing global concern and remain challenging to quantify. Therefore, the use of proxies, such as Close Encounters (CEs) that comprise Surprise Encounters (SEs) and Near-Miss Events (NMEs), has been proposed and widely employed to assess collision risk. To better understand this risk in the Eastern North Atlantic, where maritime traffic is intensive, this study aimed to redefine and quantify CEs, and to assess detectability-related variables that may affect CE identification. CEs were assessed using a cetacean occurrence dataset collected between 2012 and 2024 on board cargo ships and oceanographic vessels. CEs thresholds were redefined based on Time to Potential Collision (TPC), rather than distance alone (as described in literature), to allow a more dynamic, risk-based, and speed-sensitive approach. In total, 1226 sightings of whales (baleen, sperm, and beaked whales) were recorded, of which 37.4% were classified as SEs and 2.0% as NMEs. The sperm whale, Physeter macrocephalus, was the species most frequently involved in CEs (13.9% of all CEs), followed by the Cuviers beaked whale, Ziphius cavirostris (11.8%). A Generalized Additive Model was used to assess the influence of detectability-related variables (i.e., meteorological conditions, whale taxa, vessel characteristics, and Marine Mammals Observers (MMOs) experience) on TPC. Significantly lower TPC values were observed with beaked whales, cargo ships, poor visibility conditions, and less experienced MMOs. The results of this study provide an CEs assessment in this region and contribute to the ongoing efforts to standardize CE quantification, by using TPC as a metric. This work also highlights the importance of decreased speeds and the presence of experienced MMOs on board to increase detection probability and TPC, thereby potentially minimizing collision risk.

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Exploring the relationship between dolphins and fisheries: uncovering the spatial and temporal patterns that influence potential conflicts along Portugal's north coast

Barbieri, B.; Afonso, L.; Oliveira-Rodrigues, C.; Silva, I.; Gil, A.; Marcalo, A.; Sousa-Pinto, I.; Correia, A. M.; Valente, R.

2026-03-27 ecology 10.64898/2026.03.25.714190 medRxiv
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The north coast of mainland Portugal supports a strong dolphin presence and extensive fishing activity, increasing the likelihood of interactions, such as bycatch. This study provides an initial assessment of potential conflict areas, using automatic identification system (AIS) data from Global Fishing Watch. To this end, sighting data from the ATLANTIDA project (2021-2024) on the common dolphin (Delphinus delphis) were used to describe spatiotemporal patterns of occurrence and encounter rates, and to predict their association with fishing effort to identify and map areas of potential overlap. A generalised additive model (GAM) was then applied, integrating environmental, spatial, temporal, and fisheries-related variables to identify the main predictors of species occurrence. Common dolphins were frequently observed during the summer, with an average encounter rate of 3.662 sightings/km. This high encounter rate may be associated with factors such as sea surface temperature, diet, and purse seine fishing activity. The maps showed a spatial overlap between fishing grounds and areas of common dolphin occurrence. Fishing effort was nearly identical between locations with sightings (2.00 h/km{superscript 2}) and those without (1.62 h/km{superscript 2}), suggesting that dolphins are not actively avoiding fishing areas but may instead frequent them due to shared habitat preferences. The best-fitted GAM indicated that encounters were related to year, latitude, fishing effort, depth, sea surface temperature, and season. There was an increase in occurrence over the years and a decrease with increasing fishing effort and sea surface temperature, possibly linked to changes in prey availability, although broad confidence intervals warrant cautious interpretation. Despite some limitations encountered in this study, we believe our findings provide valuable insights into the relationship between dolphin occurrence, environmental conditions, and fishing activities in the area, establishing an important baseline for future conservation and fisheries management efforts.

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Bumble Bee Abundance and Diversity Increase with Intensity of Tallgrass Prairie Restoration Intervention

Kochanski, J. M.; McFarlane, S. L.; Damschen, E. I.; Gratton, C.

2026-03-26 ecology 10.64898/2026.03.24.713996 medRxiv
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IntroductionHuman land-use intensification and the resulting habitat loss are primary drivers of insect pollinator declines. Habitat restoration offers a promising approach to counteract these declines, yet landscape-level evaluations of bee responses to restoration and management remain limited. We conducted a two-year, landscape-scale study in Wisconsin, USA, to assess how different intensities of tallgrass prairie restoration and management affect bumble bees (Bombus spp.). ObjectivesThis study aimed to determine whether (1) bumble bee abundance and diversity increase with assisted restoration, and (2) outcomes differ between low-(seeded only) and moderate-intensity (seeded and managed with prescribed fire) interventions. MethodsUsing catch-and-release surveys, we measured bumble bee abundance and diversity at 32 sites representing a gradient in restoration intervention: no intervention (unassisted recovery), low intervention, and moderate intervention. ResultsBumble bee abundance and diversity were higher at assisted restoration sites (low and moderate intervention) than at unassisted sites. Although both tended to be greater at moderate than low intervention intensities, these differences were not statistically significant. Bumble bee community composition also differed across intervention intensity, driven by shifts in dominant species (e.g., B. impatiens and B. griseocollis). Rarer taxa, including endangered and vulnerable species, occurred only at assisted restoration sites, with the largest populations at moderate intervention sites. Across all sites, bumble bee responses were strongly and positively associated with floral abundance, but not with semi-natural habitat in the surrounding landscape. ConclusionOur findings demonstrate that assisted grassland restoration can effectively increase bumble bee abundance and diversity, supporting its value as a conservation practice for pollinators. Implications for Practice: (1) Grassland restorations targeting plant communities can successfully support nontarget pollinators across a range of management intensities and landscape contexts. Adding seeds of pollinator-preferred plants could improve restorations with low floral abundance and diversity. (2) Management of existing restorations is important to maintain abundant floral resources and diverse pollinator communities. Because sites varied widely in prescribed fire use, our findings likely represent a conservative estimate of its benefits, and higher intervention intensity (e.g., repeated seeding, regular fire, mechanical or chemical shrub and invasive plants control) may further enhance outcomes for bumble bees.